**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 centers on 28–29°C due to short-range model consensus showing typical summer overnight minima under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global ensembles indicate seasonal warmth persisting into early August, with no strong cold advection or significant rainfall expected to suppress temperatures further. Key variables differentiating the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes include the timing of any nocturnal cloud breaks, local wind patterns around the urban heat island, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge that could allow marginally clearer skies for greater radiational cooling. Historical August lows average near 26–28°C, but current conditions and model runs support the market-implied clustering above that baseline. Updated HKO forecasts and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the edge between these two outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 9 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 9 août ?
29°C 43%
28°C 38%
30°C 11%
26°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
24°C ou moins
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
38%
29°C
43%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 38%
30°C 11%
26°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$554 Vol.
1%
25°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$723 Vol.
7%
27°C
$179 Vol.
7%
28°C
$1,106 Vol.
38%
29°C
$944 Vol.
43%
30°C
$550 Vol.
11%
31°C
$446 Vol.
2%
32°C
$435 Vol.
1%
33°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
34°C ou plus
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 centers on 28–29°C due to short-range model consensus showing typical summer overnight minima under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global ensembles indicate seasonal warmth persisting into early August, with no strong cold advection or significant rainfall expected to suppress temperatures further. Key variables differentiating the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes include the timing of any nocturnal cloud breaks, local wind patterns around the urban heat island, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge that could allow marginally clearer skies for greater radiational cooling. Historical August lows average near 26–28°C, but current conditions and model runs support the market-implied clustering above that baseline. Updated HKO forecasts and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the edge between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,612Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 centers on 28–29°C due to short-range model consensus showing typical summer overnight minima under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global ensembles indicate seasonal warmth persisting into early August, with no strong cold advection or significant rainfall expected to suppress temperatures further. Key variables differentiating the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes include the timing of any nocturnal cloud breaks, local wind patterns around the urban heat island, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge that could allow marginally clearer skies for greater radiational cooling. Historical August lows average near 26–28°C, but current conditions and model runs support the market-implied clustering above that baseline. Updated HKO forecasts and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the edge between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,612Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 centers on 28–29°C due to short-range model consensus showing typical summer overnight minima under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global ensembles indicate seasonal warmth persisting into early August, with no strong cold advection or significant rainfall expected to suppress temperatures further. Key variables differentiating the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes include the timing of any nocturnal cloud breaks, local wind patterns around the urban heat island, and subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge that could allow marginally clearer skies for greater radiational cooling. Historical August lows average near 26–28°C, but current conditions and model runs support the market-implied clustering above that baseline. Updated HKO forecasts and high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the edge between these two outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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