Recent Météo-France guidance shows a post-heat cooldown across Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs near 25–26 °C on August 7 after earlier peaks of 29–32 °C. This pattern reflects weakening southerly flow and increased Atlantic influence, consistent with typical late-summer steering that limits further warming. Ensemble guidance places the most likely daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, aligning with climatological August averages of 24–26 °C. Market-implied odds, concentrated on 27 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %), capture residual uncertainty in model spread and exact timing of any lingering warm advection, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or below reflect the chance of modest upward revisions before final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 7 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 7 août ?
27°C 47%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
47%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
23°C or below
$374 Vol.
1%
24°C
$60 Vol.
1%
25°C
$100 Vol.
5%
26°C
$44 Vol.
19%
27°C
$503 Vol.
47%
28°C
$123 Vol.
27%
29°C
$85 Vol.
5%
30°C
$31 Vol.
2%
31°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance shows a post-heat cooldown across Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs near 25–26 °C on August 7 after earlier peaks of 29–32 °C. This pattern reflects weakening southerly flow and increased Atlantic influence, consistent with typical late-summer steering that limits further warming. Ensemble guidance places the most likely daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, aligning with climatological August averages of 24–26 °C. Market-implied odds, concentrated on 27 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %), capture residual uncertainty in model spread and exact timing of any lingering warm advection, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or below reflect the chance of modest upward revisions before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,482Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance shows a post-heat cooldown across Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs near 25–26 °C on August 7 after earlier peaks of 29–32 °C. This pattern reflects weakening southerly flow and increased Atlantic influence, consistent with typical late-summer steering that limits further warming. Ensemble guidance places the most likely daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, aligning with climatological August averages of 24–26 °C. Market-implied odds, concentrated on 27 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %), capture residual uncertainty in model spread and exact timing of any lingering warm advection, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or below reflect the chance of modest upward revisions before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,482Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance shows a post-heat cooldown across Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs near 25–26 °C on August 7 after earlier peaks of 29–32 °C. This pattern reflects weakening southerly flow and increased Atlantic influence, consistent with typical late-summer steering that limits further warming. Ensemble guidance places the most likely daily maximum in the 25–28 °C range, aligning with climatological August averages of 24–26 °C. Market-implied odds, concentrated on 27 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %), capture residual uncertainty in model spread and exact timing of any lingering warm advection, while lower probabilities for 26 °C or below reflect the chance of modest upward revisions before final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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