Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 9 center on daytime maxima of 27–28°C under a persistent summer high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection across the Marmara region, consistent with August climatology of average highs near 28°C. This positioning drives the market's strong implied probability for 27°C (53.5%) over 28°C (32.5%), as numerical models show limited deviation absent major steering pattern changes. Stable subtropical conditions and typical sea-breeze moderation further constrain upside potential, while historical data indicate rare exceedances above 30°C this time of year. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance heavily ahead of official station readings for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 9 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 9 août ?
27°C 54%
28°C 33%
26°C 10%
29°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
54%
28°C
33%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 33%
26°C 10%
29°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$1,120 Vol.
1%
24°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$424 Vol.
2%
26°C
$371 Vol.
10%
27°C
$3,561 Vol.
54%
28°C
$824 Vol.
33%
29°C
$239 Vol.
5%
30°C
$194 Vol.
1%
31°C
$220 Vol.
1%
32°C
$813 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou plus
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 9 center on daytime maxima of 27–28°C under a persistent summer high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection across the Marmara region, consistent with August climatology of average highs near 28°C. This positioning drives the market's strong implied probability for 27°C (53.5%) over 28°C (32.5%), as numerical models show limited deviation absent major steering pattern changes. Stable subtropical conditions and typical sea-breeze moderation further constrain upside potential, while historical data indicate rare exceedances above 30°C this time of year. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance heavily ahead of official station readings for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,367Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 9 center on daytime maxima of 27–28°C under a persistent summer high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection across the Marmara region, consistent with August climatology of average highs near 28°C. This positioning drives the market's strong implied probability for 27°C (53.5%) over 28°C (32.5%), as numerical models show limited deviation absent major steering pattern changes. Stable subtropical conditions and typical sea-breeze moderation further constrain upside potential, while historical data indicate rare exceedances above 30°C this time of year. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance heavily ahead of official station readings for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,367Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 9 center on daytime maxima of 27–28°C under a persistent summer high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection across the Marmara region, consistent with August climatology of average highs near 28°C. This positioning drives the market's strong implied probability for 27°C (53.5%) over 28°C (32.5%), as numerical models show limited deviation absent major steering pattern changes. Stable subtropical conditions and typical sea-breeze moderation further constrain upside potential, while historical data indicate rare exceedances above 30°C this time of year. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance heavily ahead of official station readings for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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