Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 6 centers on 32–33°C, reflecting model guidance for peak readings near the long-term August average of 30–32°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity and the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography support these levels, while scattered thunderstorms noted in recent forecasts could limit daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official monitoring from sources like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes the narrow range between 31°C and 34°C as most probable, with limited upside risk from stronger insolation or downside from prolonged rainfall. Updated model runs and the short time to resolution keep probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 6 août ?
32°C 37%
33°C 25%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$28,821 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$28,821 Vol.
6 août 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
37%
33°C
25%
34°C
11%
35°C ou plus
5%
32°C 37%
33°C 25%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$28,821 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$28,821 Vol.
6 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$496 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,351 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,799 Vol.
2%
30°C
$841 Vol.
6%
31°C
$4,768 Vol.
13%
32°C
$7,343 Vol.
37%
33°C
$5,801 Vol.
25%
34°C
$1,866 Vol.
11%
35°C ou plus
$3,036 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 6 centers on 32–33°C, reflecting model guidance for peak readings near the long-term August average of 30–32°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity and the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography support these levels, while scattered thunderstorms noted in recent forecasts could limit daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official monitoring from sources like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes the narrow range between 31°C and 34°C as most probable, with limited upside risk from stronger insolation or downside from prolonged rainfall. Updated model runs and the short time to resolution keep probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$28,821Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 6 centers on 32–33°C, reflecting model guidance for peak readings near the long-term August average of 30–32°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity and the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography support these levels, while scattered thunderstorms noted in recent forecasts could limit daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official monitoring from sources like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes the narrow range between 31°C and 34°C as most probable, with limited upside risk from stronger insolation or downside from prolonged rainfall. Updated model runs and the short time to resolution keep probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,821Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 6 centers on 32–33°C, reflecting model guidance for peak readings near the long-term August average of 30–32°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity and the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography support these levels, while scattered thunderstorms noted in recent forecasts could limit daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official monitoring from sources like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes the narrow range between 31°C and 34°C as most probable, with limited upside risk from stronger insolation or downside from prolonged rainfall. Updated model runs and the short time to resolution keep probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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