Recent Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a stable westerly flow and moderate high pressure over southern England, keeping London’s daytime maximum near the long-term August average of 23 °C on 6 August. This consensus, reinforced by the latest observational data showing temperatures 0.5–1 °C above climatology after earlier summer warmth, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 23 °C (48.5 %) and adjacent 22–24 °C outcomes. Limited cloud cover and light winds are expected to prevent significant departures, while any model spread in boundary-layer moisture or timing of a weak front introduces modest uncertainty that caps probabilities for 25 °C or higher at just 3.5 %. Updated guidance later today will further refine these short-range probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 6 août ?
23°C 49%
24°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$21,387 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$21,387 Vol.
6 août 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
23%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$21,387 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$21,387 Vol.
6 août 2026
19°C or below
$3,396 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,592 Vol.
2%
21°C
$2,303 Vol.
2%
22°C
$3,744 Vol.
23%
23°C
$3,745 Vol.
49%
24°C
$1,352 Vol.
27%
25°C
$1,328 Vol.
4%
26°C
$809 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,754 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a stable westerly flow and moderate high pressure over southern England, keeping London’s daytime maximum near the long-term August average of 23 °C on 6 August. This consensus, reinforced by the latest observational data showing temperatures 0.5–1 °C above climatology after earlier summer warmth, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 23 °C (48.5 %) and adjacent 22–24 °C outcomes. Limited cloud cover and light winds are expected to prevent significant departures, while any model spread in boundary-layer moisture or timing of a weak front introduces modest uncertainty that caps probabilities for 25 °C or higher at just 3.5 %. Updated guidance later today will further refine these short-range probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$21,387Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a stable westerly flow and moderate high pressure over southern England, keeping London’s daytime maximum near the long-term August average of 23 °C on 6 August. This consensus, reinforced by the latest observational data showing temperatures 0.5–1 °C above climatology after earlier summer warmth, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 23 °C (48.5 %) and adjacent 22–24 °C outcomes. Limited cloud cover and light winds are expected to prevent significant departures, while any model spread in boundary-layer moisture or timing of a weak front introduces modest uncertainty that caps probabilities for 25 °C or higher at just 3.5 %. Updated guidance later today will further refine these short-range probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,387Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a stable westerly flow and moderate high pressure over southern England, keeping London’s daytime maximum near the long-term August average of 23 °C on 6 August. This consensus, reinforced by the latest observational data showing temperatures 0.5–1 °C above climatology after earlier summer warmth, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 23 °C (48.5 %) and adjacent 22–24 °C outcomes. Limited cloud cover and light winds are expected to prevent significant departures, while any model spread in boundary-layer moisture or timing of a weak front introduces modest uncertainty that caps probabilities for 25 °C or higher at just 3.5 %. Updated guidance later today will further refine these short-range probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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