Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao under continued influence from a regional high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, sustaining the elevated heat risk flagged in the ongoing Shandong high-temperature orange warning. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near 36–37 °C for 6 August, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, coastal sea-breeze timing, and exact ridge position; these factors determine whether the peak reaches the upper 30s or remains capped near 35 °C. Trader probabilities align closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty in the final observed value.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 6 août ?
36°C 34%
37°C 28%
35°C 17%
38°C ou plus 17%
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
17%
36°C
34%
37°C
28%
38°C ou plus
17%
36°C 34%
37°C 28%
35°C 17%
38°C ou plus 17%
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
17%
36°C
34%
37°C
28%
38°C ou plus
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao under continued influence from a regional high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, sustaining the elevated heat risk flagged in the ongoing Shandong high-temperature orange warning. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near 36–37 °C for 6 August, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, coastal sea-breeze timing, and exact ridge position; these factors determine whether the peak reaches the upper 30s or remains capped near 35 °C. Trader probabilities align closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty in the final observed value.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes