Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to partly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible light showers in Shanghai on August 6, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 33°C as the leading market outcome at 47.5% implied probability. August's subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers highs of 31–35°C, but recent observations of 35–37°C peaks earlier in the month, combined with strengthening El Niño-driven warmth, keep 34°C viable at 30.5%. Traders weigh model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels against the narrow window for intensification, with lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflecting limited evidence for clearer skies or stronger subsidence by resolution time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 6 août ?
33°C 48%
34°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$20,782 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$20,782 Vol.
6 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
48%
34°C
31%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$20,782 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$20,782 Vol.
6 août 2026
27°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,740 Vol.
4%
32°C
$3,883 Vol.
16%
33°C
$2,520 Vol.
48%
34°C
$3,598 Vol.
31%
35°C
$3,036 Vol.
6%
36°C
$992 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to partly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible light showers in Shanghai on August 6, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 33°C as the leading market outcome at 47.5% implied probability. August's subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers highs of 31–35°C, but recent observations of 35–37°C peaks earlier in the month, combined with strengthening El Niño-driven warmth, keep 34°C viable at 30.5%. Traders weigh model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels against the narrow window for intensification, with lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflecting limited evidence for clearer skies or stronger subsidence by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$20,782Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to partly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible light showers in Shanghai on August 6, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 33°C as the leading market outcome at 47.5% implied probability. August's subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers highs of 31–35°C, but recent observations of 35–37°C peaks earlier in the month, combined with strengthening El Niño-driven warmth, keep 34°C viable at 30.5%. Traders weigh model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels against the narrow window for intensification, with lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflecting limited evidence for clearer skies or stronger subsidence by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,782Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to partly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible light showers in Shanghai on August 6, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 33°C as the leading market outcome at 47.5% implied probability. August's subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers highs of 31–35°C, but recent observations of 35–37°C peaks earlier in the month, combined with strengthening El Niño-driven warmth, keep 34°C viable at 30.5%. Traders weigh model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels against the narrow window for intensification, with lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflecting limited evidence for clearer skies or stronger subsidence by resolution time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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