Current forecasts from models referenced by traders, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C for Shanghai on August 6 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These patterns favor radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and moisture, keeping overnight lows in the 27–28°C range rather than dipping lower. Recent observations from early August show consistent minima around 26–28°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus on the 28°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this model agreement while acknowledging potential shifts from updated runs or localized urban heat effects ahead of official resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 6 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 6 août ?
28°C 47%
27°C 27%
29°C 14%
26°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
22°C ou moins
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
27%
28°C
47%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
1%
28°C 47%
27°C 27%
29°C 14%
26°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$11 Vol.
1%
23°C
$16 Vol.
1%
24°C
$57 Vol.
1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
2%
26°C
$83 Vol.
8%
27°C
$131 Vol.
27%
28°C
$298 Vol.
47%
29°C
$476 Vol.
14%
30°C
$57 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models referenced by traders, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C for Shanghai on August 6 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These patterns favor radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and moisture, keeping overnight lows in the 27–28°C range rather than dipping lower. Recent observations from early August show consistent minima around 26–28°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus on the 28°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this model agreement while acknowledging potential shifts from updated runs or localized urban heat effects ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,168Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models referenced by traders, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C for Shanghai on August 6 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These patterns favor radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and moisture, keeping overnight lows in the 27–28°C range rather than dipping lower. Recent observations from early August show consistent minima around 26–28°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus on the 28°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this model agreement while acknowledging potential shifts from updated runs or localized urban heat effects ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,168Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models referenced by traders, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C for Shanghai on August 6 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These patterns favor radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and moisture, keeping overnight lows in the 27–28°C range rather than dipping lower. Recent observations from early August show consistent minima around 26–28°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus on the 28°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this model agreement while acknowledging potential shifts from updated runs or localized urban heat effects ahead of official resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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