Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Busan le 6 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Busan le 6 août ?
35°C 56%
34°C 24%
36°C 15%
33°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
30°C ou moins
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
24%
35°C
56%
36°C
15%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C ou plus
<1%
35°C 56%
34°C 24%
36°C 15%
33°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
30°C ou moins
$263 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$303 Vol.
1%
32°C
$330 Vol.
1%
33°C
$453 Vol.
7%
34°C
$194 Vol.
24%
35°C
$763 Vol.
56%
36°C
$474 Vol.
15%
37°C
$748 Vol.
1%
38°C
$165 Vol.
1%
39°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
40°C ou plus
$259 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,068Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,068Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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