Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models positions daytime maxima in Tel Aviv near 31–33 °C on August 8 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of Mediterranean summer. Sea-breeze circulation from the adjacent waters provides coastal moderation that historically caps extremes relative to inland sites, while August climatology shows average highs around 30–32 °C. Recent model runs and early-August observations indicate no significant heat-wave amplification or unusual synoptic shift, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes that together exceed 90 % market-implied probability. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine any final adjustments ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 8 août ?
32°C 56%
33°C 35%
31°C 9%
34°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
56%
33°C
35%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 35%
31°C 9%
34°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
28°C or below
$137 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$596 Vol.
1%
30°C
$252 Vol.
1%
31°C
$472 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,185 Vol.
56%
33°C
$478 Vol.
35%
34°C
$153 Vol.
5%
35°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$448 Vol.
1%
37°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models positions daytime maxima in Tel Aviv near 31–33 °C on August 8 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of Mediterranean summer. Sea-breeze circulation from the adjacent waters provides coastal moderation that historically caps extremes relative to inland sites, while August climatology shows average highs around 30–32 °C. Recent model runs and early-August observations indicate no significant heat-wave amplification or unusual synoptic shift, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes that together exceed 90 % market-implied probability. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine any final adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,490Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models positions daytime maxima in Tel Aviv near 31–33 °C on August 8 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of Mediterranean summer. Sea-breeze circulation from the adjacent waters provides coastal moderation that historically caps extremes relative to inland sites, while August climatology shows average highs around 30–32 °C. Recent model runs and early-August observations indicate no significant heat-wave amplification or unusual synoptic shift, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes that together exceed 90 % market-implied probability. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine any final adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,490Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models positions daytime maxima in Tel Aviv near 31–33 °C on August 8 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of Mediterranean summer. Sea-breeze circulation from the adjacent waters provides coastal moderation that historically caps extremes relative to inland sites, while August climatology shows average highs around 30–32 °C. Recent model runs and early-August observations indicate no significant heat-wave amplification or unusual synoptic shift, keeping the distribution tightly centered on the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes that together exceed 90 % market-implied probability. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine any final adjustments ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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