Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 point to a minimum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C and 27°C. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo basin reduce the typical diurnal drop, while subtle variations in cloud cover and wind patterns across ensemble models create the near-even split between those two outcomes. Historical August normals hover around 24°C, but current steering patterns and above-average sea-surface temperatures sustain warmer nights. Traders are watching the next JMA update and any shifts in the 00–06 UTC window for clearer signals on whether cooling will reach the lower or mid-20s.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 8 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 8 août ?
26°C 47%
27°C 46%
24°C 7%
29°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
21°C ou moins
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
47%
27°C
46%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
1%
26°C 47%
27°C 46%
24°C 7%
29°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$111 Vol.
1%
22°C
$133 Vol.
1%
23°C
$92 Vol.
3%
24°C
$379 Vol.
7%
25°C
$84 Vol.
3%
26°C
$268 Vol.
47%
27°C
$1,342 Vol.
46%
28°C
$97 Vol.
2%
29°C
$150 Vol.
6%
30°C
$62 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$313 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 point to a minimum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C and 27°C. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo basin reduce the typical diurnal drop, while subtle variations in cloud cover and wind patterns across ensemble models create the near-even split between those two outcomes. Historical August normals hover around 24°C, but current steering patterns and above-average sea-surface temperatures sustain warmer nights. Traders are watching the next JMA update and any shifts in the 00–06 UTC window for clearer signals on whether cooling will reach the lower or mid-20s.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,031Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 point to a minimum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C and 27°C. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo basin reduce the typical diurnal drop, while subtle variations in cloud cover and wind patterns across ensemble models create the near-even split between those two outcomes. Historical August normals hover around 24°C, but current steering patterns and above-average sea-surface temperatures sustain warmer nights. Traders are watching the next JMA update and any shifts in the 00–06 UTC window for clearer signals on whether cooling will reach the lower or mid-20s.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,031Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 point to a minimum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C and 27°C. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo basin reduce the typical diurnal drop, while subtle variations in cloud cover and wind patterns across ensemble models create the near-even split between those two outcomes. Historical August normals hover around 24°C, but current steering patterns and above-average sea-surface temperatures sustain warmer nights. Traders are watching the next JMA update and any shifts in the 00–06 UTC window for clearer signals on whether cooling will reach the lower or mid-20s.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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