**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 6 août ?
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
92-93°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
92-93°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
79°F or below
$153 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$474 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$65 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$63 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$67 Vol.
24%
88-89°F
$239 Vol.
41%
90-91°F
$215 Vol.
28%
92-93°F
$209 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$371 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$246 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,313Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,313Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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