Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a building high-pressure system will deliver above-average warmth to southern England, with London’s August 9 daytime maximum centered near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus, driven by warm-air advection and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Key variables include small shifts in the high’s exact position, which could add or subtract 1–2 °C, variable low-level moisture affecting maximum temperatures, and the urban heat-island effect that can locally boost readings. Model runs remain consistent but carry typical short-range uncertainty around boundary-layer details; the next ECMWF and UKV updates will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 9 août ?
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a building high-pressure system will deliver above-average warmth to southern England, with London’s August 9 daytime maximum centered near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus, driven by warm-air advection and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Key variables include small shifts in the high’s exact position, which could add or subtract 1–2 °C, variable low-level moisture affecting maximum temperatures, and the urban heat-island effect that can locally boost readings. Model runs remain consistent but carry typical short-range uncertainty around boundary-layer details; the next ECMWF and UKV updates will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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