Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a moderating marine layer and onshore flow will cap daytime heating in the Los Angeles basin, keeping the official high—typically measured at Los Angeles International Airport—near the seasonal normal of 84 °F but skewed lower toward 78–79 °F. Persistent low clouds and sea-surface temperatures around 68–70 °F limit solar insolation and suppress extreme warming, consistent with climatological patterns for early August when coastal influence dominates absent strong offshore winds. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based outlook, with the 67.5 % implied probability on 78–79 °F incorporating the latest forecast updates and historical analogs that rarely produce 85 °F+ under similar synoptic setups.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 8 août ?
78-79 °F 68%
76-77°F 18%
80-81 °F 10%
74-75 °F 2%
NOUVEAU
$30,177 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$30,177 Vol.
8 août 2026
71°F ou moins
<1%
72-73 °F
<1%
74-75 °F
2%
76-77°F
18%
78-79 °F
68%
80-81 °F
10%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
78-79 °F 68%
76-77°F 18%
80-81 °F 10%
74-75 °F 2%
NOUVEAU
$30,177 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$30,177 Vol.
8 août 2026
71°F ou moins
$377 Vol.
<1%
72-73 °F
$4,869 Vol.
<1%
74-75 °F
$5,248 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$4,169 Vol.
18%
78-79 °F
$7,690 Vol.
68%
80-81 °F
$3,226 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$1,764 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$487 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$391 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou plus
$301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a moderating marine layer and onshore flow will cap daytime heating in the Los Angeles basin, keeping the official high—typically measured at Los Angeles International Airport—near the seasonal normal of 84 °F but skewed lower toward 78–79 °F. Persistent low clouds and sea-surface temperatures around 68–70 °F limit solar insolation and suppress extreme warming, consistent with climatological patterns for early August when coastal influence dominates absent strong offshore winds. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based outlook, with the 67.5 % implied probability on 78–79 °F incorporating the latest forecast updates and historical analogs that rarely produce 85 °F+ under similar synoptic setups.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$30,177Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a moderating marine layer and onshore flow will cap daytime heating in the Los Angeles basin, keeping the official high—typically measured at Los Angeles International Airport—near the seasonal normal of 84 °F but skewed lower toward 78–79 °F. Persistent low clouds and sea-surface temperatures around 68–70 °F limit solar insolation and suppress extreme warming, consistent with climatological patterns for early August when coastal influence dominates absent strong offshore winds. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based outlook, with the 67.5 % implied probability on 78–79 °F incorporating the latest forecast updates and historical analogs that rarely produce 85 °F+ under similar synoptic setups.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,177Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a moderating marine layer and onshore flow will cap daytime heating in the Los Angeles basin, keeping the official high—typically measured at Los Angeles International Airport—near the seasonal normal of 84 °F but skewed lower toward 78–79 °F. Persistent low clouds and sea-surface temperatures around 68–70 °F limit solar insolation and suppress extreme warming, consistent with climatological patterns for early August when coastal influence dominates absent strong offshore winds. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based outlook, with the 67.5 % implied probability on 78–79 °F incorporating the latest forecast updates and historical analogs that rarely produce 85 °F+ under similar synoptic setups.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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