Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate sunny, settled high-pressure conditions over southern England on August 12, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C in London. Persistent above-average summer warmth, driven by warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures and a favorable jet-stream pattern, has produced several heat episodes this season, keeping model consensus centered on the low 30s. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office daily maximum recorded at the London weather station, with only modest day-to-day variability expected given stable steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Traders have priced the 30–32 °C outcomes accordingly, reflecting limited scope for either significant cooling or rapid intensification before the measurement window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 12 août ?
31°C 40%
32°C 24.8%
30°C 24%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$21,345 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$21,345 Vol.
12 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
24%
31°C
40%
32°C
25%
33°C
9%
34°C ou plus
1%
31°C 40%
32°C 24.8%
30°C 24%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$21,345 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$21,345 Vol.
12 août 2026
24°C or below
$804 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,440 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,525 Vol.
5%
30°C
$4,329 Vol.
24%
31°C
$4,540 Vol.
40%
32°C
$1,813 Vol.
25%
33°C
$1,205 Vol.
9%
34°C ou plus
$1,483 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate sunny, settled high-pressure conditions over southern England on August 12, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C in London. Persistent above-average summer warmth, driven by warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures and a favorable jet-stream pattern, has produced several heat episodes this season, keeping model consensus centered on the low 30s. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office daily maximum recorded at the London weather station, with only modest day-to-day variability expected given stable steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Traders have priced the 30–32 °C outcomes accordingly, reflecting limited scope for either significant cooling or rapid intensification before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$21,345Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate sunny, settled high-pressure conditions over southern England on August 12, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C in London. Persistent above-average summer warmth, driven by warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures and a favorable jet-stream pattern, has produced several heat episodes this season, keeping model consensus centered on the low 30s. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office daily maximum recorded at the London weather station, with only modest day-to-day variability expected given stable steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Traders have priced the 30–32 °C outcomes accordingly, reflecting limited scope for either significant cooling or rapid intensification before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,345Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate sunny, settled high-pressure conditions over southern England on August 12, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C in London. Persistent above-average summer warmth, driven by warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures and a favorable jet-stream pattern, has produced several heat episodes this season, keeping model consensus centered on the low 30s. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office daily maximum recorded at the London weather station, with only modest day-to-day variability expected given stable steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Traders have priced the 30–32 °C outcomes accordingly, reflecting limited scope for either significant cooling or rapid intensification before the measurement window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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