High-pressure subsidence and clear skies across northern France are driving strong daytime solar heating, positioning 37–39°C as the most likely range for Paris’s August 13 maximum according to the latest ensemble guidance. Météo-France and ECMWF model runs show a continuation of the mid-August heatwave pattern, with warm-air advection and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon peaks near 38°C at Paris-area stations. Recent short-range updates have tightened consensus around this band while maintaining slight downside risk from any late-day cooling or model spread. Market-implied odds align with these verified forecast trends and climatological baselines for late-summer conditions in the Île-de-France region.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 13 août ?
38°C 45%
37°C 27%
39°C 14%
36°C 10%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
10%
37°C
27%
38°C
45%
39°C
14%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 45%
37°C 27%
39°C 14%
36°C 10%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
10%
37°C
27%
38°C
45%
39°C
14%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-pressure subsidence and clear skies across northern France are driving strong daytime solar heating, positioning 37–39°C as the most likely range for Paris’s August 13 maximum according to the latest ensemble guidance. Météo-France and ECMWF model runs show a continuation of the mid-August heatwave pattern, with warm-air advection and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon peaks near 38°C at Paris-area stations. Recent short-range updates have tightened consensus around this band while maintaining slight downside risk from any late-day cooling or model spread. Market-implied odds align with these verified forecast trends and climatological baselines for late-summer conditions in the Île-de-France region.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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