Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 34–36 °C in Taipei on August 11, consistent with August climatology under a subtropical high-pressure regime. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because southwesterly flow ahead of Typhoon Dolphin is expected to deliver variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and localized rain that can either limit afternoon heating or enhance it through reduced evaporative cooling. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of convection, urban heat-island amplification in the basin, and the strength of downslope warming on the lee side of surrounding terrain. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.