Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar insolation typical of midsummer conditions. This setup favors above-normal readings relative to the long-term August average of roughly 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance clustering daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius and limited spread from minor variations in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer mixing. The market-implied odds—56.5% for 33°C and 38% for 34°C—reflect aggregated trader assessment of this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 35°C or cooler outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts or unexpected synoptic changes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 13 août ?
33°C 56%
34°C 37%
35°C 5%
32°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
56%
34°C
37%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 37%
35°C 5%
32°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
29°C or below
$26 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$222 Vol.
1%
31°C
$41 Vol.
1%
32°C
$91 Vol.
5%
33°C
$280 Vol.
56%
34°C
$166 Vol.
37%
35°C
$102 Vol.
5%
36°C
$39 Vol.
1%
37°C
$58 Vol.
1%
38°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar insolation typical of midsummer conditions. This setup favors above-normal readings relative to the long-term August average of roughly 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance clustering daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius and limited spread from minor variations in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer mixing. The market-implied odds—56.5% for 33°C and 38% for 34°C—reflect aggregated trader assessment of this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 35°C or cooler outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts or unexpected synoptic changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,401Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar insolation typical of midsummer conditions. This setup favors above-normal readings relative to the long-term August average of roughly 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance clustering daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius and limited spread from minor variations in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer mixing. The market-implied odds—56.5% for 33°C and 38% for 34°C—reflect aggregated trader assessment of this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 35°C or cooler outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts or unexpected synoptic changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,401Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and intense solar insolation typical of midsummer conditions. This setup favors above-normal readings relative to the long-term August average of roughly 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance clustering daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius and limited spread from minor variations in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer mixing. The market-implied odds—56.5% for 33°C and 38% for 34°C—reflect aggregated trader assessment of this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 35°C or cooler outcomes align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts or unexpected synoptic changes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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