Recent forecast model runs place Munich's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a transient high-pressure ridge that modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing; slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind speeds can shift peak values by 1–2 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the diurnal temperature curve, with drier air masses favoring slightly higher readings and any arriving marine influence or increased cloud cover capping the extreme. Official DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 13 août ?
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
35%
31°C
34%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
24°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$18 Vol.
16%
30°C
$320 Vol.
35%
31°C
$12 Vol.
34%
32°C
$256 Vol.
10%
33°C
$72 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$56 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs place Munich's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a transient high-pressure ridge that modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing; slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind speeds can shift peak values by 1–2 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the diurnal temperature curve, with drier air masses favoring slightly higher readings and any arriving marine influence or increased cloud cover capping the extreme. Official DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$743Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs place Munich's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a transient high-pressure ridge that modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing; slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind speeds can shift peak values by 1–2 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the diurnal temperature curve, with drier air masses favoring slightly higher readings and any arriving marine influence or increased cloud cover capping the extreme. Official DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$743Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs place Munich's August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a transient high-pressure ridge that modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing; slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind speeds can shift peak values by 1–2 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the diurnal temperature curve, with drier air masses favoring slightly higher readings and any arriving marine influence or increased cloud cover capping the extreme. Official DWD and ECMWF updates over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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