Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 13 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Moscou le 13 août ?
16°C 28%
17°C 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
12°C ou moins
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
22%
16°C
28%
17°C
26%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C ou plus
2%
16°C 28%
17°C 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
2%
13°C
$28 Vol.
4%
14°C
$20 Vol.
10%
15°C
$25 Vol.
22%
16°C
$93 Vol.
28%
17°C
$64 Vol.
26%
18°C
$236 Vol.
14%
19°C
$16 Vol.
5%
20°C
$17 Vol.
6%
21°C
$12 Vol.
6%
22°C ou plus
$12 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$528Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$528Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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