Forecast consensus from short-range models places Warsaw's August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C, driven by moderate high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and broken cloud cover that limits daytime radiative heating while allowing sufficient solar input. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day convection that could cap the peak; clearer skies or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range, whereas increased moisture or stronger winds would suppress it. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 23–25 °C, providing context for the narrow spread traders currently price. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 13 août ?
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
23°C 24%
22°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
20 °C ou moins
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
35%
25°C
32%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C ou plus
1%
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
23°C 24%
22°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
20 °C ou moins
$6 Vol.
1%
21°C
$357 Vol.
2%
22°C
$117 Vol.
7%
23°C
$86 Vol.
24%
24°C
$46 Vol.
35%
25°C
$23 Vol.
32%
26°C
$7 Vol.
7%
27°C
$28 Vol.
2%
28°C
$12 Vol.
4%
29°C
$6 Vol.
1%
30°C ou plus
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from short-range models places Warsaw's August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C, driven by moderate high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and broken cloud cover that limits daytime radiative heating while allowing sufficient solar input. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day convection that could cap the peak; clearer skies or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range, whereas increased moisture or stronger winds would suppress it. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 23–25 °C, providing context for the narrow spread traders currently price. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$693Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from short-range models places Warsaw's August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C, driven by moderate high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and broken cloud cover that limits daytime radiative heating while allowing sufficient solar input. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day convection that could cap the peak; clearer skies or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range, whereas increased moisture or stronger winds would suppress it. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 23–25 °C, providing context for the narrow spread traders currently price. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$693Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from short-range models places Warsaw's August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C, driven by moderate high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and broken cloud cover that limits daytime radiative heating while allowing sufficient solar input. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day convection that could cap the peak; clearer skies or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range, whereas increased moisture or stronger winds would suppress it. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 23–25 °C, providing context for the narrow spread traders currently price. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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