**High pressure dominating southern England is driving a summer heatwave that positions 35–37°C as the most probable outcomes for London's maximum temperature on August 13.** Official Met Office guidance currently forecasts a 35°C peak under clear skies and southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, while ensemble models and BBC analyses show a plausible range extending to 36°C or briefly higher in central London due to the urban heat island effect. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer as the ridge strengthens, lifting implied probabilities for 36°C (35%) and 37°C (14.5%) ahead of 35°C (25%). Climatologically, August maxima in London average near 22–24°C, so this event represents a significant positive anomaly consistent with the broader 2026 summer warmth. Key resolution factors include whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of guidance before any late-day sea-breeze moderation or thin cloud develops. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 13 août ?
36°C 34%
35°C 25%
37°C 14%
34°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
8%
35°C
25%
36°C
34%
37°C
14%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 34%
35°C 25%
37°C 14%
34°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
30°C or below
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$712 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$124 Vol.
3%
33°C
$159 Vol.
7%
34°C
$56 Vol.
8%
35°C
$96 Vol.
25%
36°C
$836 Vol.
34%
37°C
$48 Vol.
14%
38°C
$569 Vol.
2%
39°C
$78 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure dominating southern England is driving a summer heatwave that positions 35–37°C as the most probable outcomes for London's maximum temperature on August 13.** Official Met Office guidance currently forecasts a 35°C peak under clear skies and southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, while ensemble models and BBC analyses show a plausible range extending to 36°C or briefly higher in central London due to the urban heat island effect. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer as the ridge strengthens, lifting implied probabilities for 36°C (35%) and 37°C (14.5%) ahead of 35°C (25%).
Climatologically, August maxima in London average near 22–24°C, so this event represents a significant positive anomaly consistent with the broader 2026 summer warmth. Key resolution factors include whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of guidance before any late-day sea-breeze moderation or thin cloud develops. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,735Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure dominating southern England is driving a summer heatwave that positions 35–37°C as the most probable outcomes for London's maximum temperature on August 13.** Official Met Office guidance currently forecasts a 35°C peak under clear skies and southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, while ensemble models and BBC analyses show a plausible range extending to 36°C or briefly higher in central London due to the urban heat island effect. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer as the ridge strengthens, lifting implied probabilities for 36°C (35%) and 37°C (14.5%) ahead of 35°C (25%).
Climatologically, August maxima in London average near 22–24°C, so this event represents a significant positive anomaly consistent with the broader 2026 summer warmth. Key resolution factors include whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of guidance before any late-day sea-breeze moderation or thin cloud develops. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,735Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**High pressure dominating southern England is driving a summer heatwave that positions 35–37°C as the most probable outcomes for London's maximum temperature on August 13.** Official Met Office guidance currently forecasts a 35°C peak under clear skies and southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, while ensemble models and BBC analyses show a plausible range extending to 36°C or briefly higher in central London due to the urban heat island effect. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer as the ridge strengthens, lifting implied probabilities for 36°C (35%) and 37°C (14.5%) ahead of 35°C (25%). Climatologically, August maxima in London average near 22–24°C, so this event represents a significant positive anomaly consistent with the broader 2026 summer warmth. Key resolution factors include whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of guidance before any late-day sea-breeze moderation or thin cloud develops. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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