Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet and ECMWF indicate Moscow highs near 25–28 °C on August 16, slightly above the 22 °C August climatological average but well below historical extremes exceeding 35 °C. Trader sentiment centers on the latest model consensus and any last-minute shifts in upper-level ridging or Atlantic moisture transport that could alter daytime maxima. With resolution just days away, incremental updates to 2-meter temperature guidance and verification against official station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo will dominate positioning, as small deviations near category thresholds can swing implied probabilities substantially.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 16 août ?
24°C 27%
25°C 26%
26°C 25%
23°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
11%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
24°C 27%
25°C 26%
26°C 25%
23°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
21°C
$3 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$18 Vol.
3%
29°C
$25 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet and ECMWF indicate Moscow highs near 25–28 °C on August 16, slightly above the 22 °C August climatological average but well below historical extremes exceeding 35 °C. Trader sentiment centers on the latest model consensus and any last-minute shifts in upper-level ridging or Atlantic moisture transport that could alter daytime maxima. With resolution just days away, incremental updates to 2-meter temperature guidance and verification against official station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo will dominate positioning, as small deviations near category thresholds can swing implied probabilities substantially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$76Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet and ECMWF indicate Moscow highs near 25–28 °C on August 16, slightly above the 22 °C August climatological average but well below historical extremes exceeding 35 °C. Trader sentiment centers on the latest model consensus and any last-minute shifts in upper-level ridging or Atlantic moisture transport that could alter daytime maxima. With resolution just days away, incremental updates to 2-meter temperature guidance and verification against official station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo will dominate positioning, as small deviations near category thresholds can swing implied probabilities substantially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet and ECMWF indicate Moscow highs near 25–28 °C on August 16, slightly above the 22 °C August climatological average but well below historical extremes exceeding 35 °C. Trader sentiment centers on the latest model consensus and any last-minute shifts in upper-level ridging or Atlantic moisture transport that could alter daytime maxima. With resolution just days away, incremental updates to 2-meter temperature guidance and verification against official station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo will dominate positioning, as small deviations near category thresholds can swing implied probabilities substantially.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes