Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show highs of 31–33°C on August 15 amid a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers and moderate rain expected to limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, as historical August baselines average near 32°C and current very hot weather warnings reflect above-normal seasonal temperatures under ENSO-neutral conditions. Differentiation among 30–33°C hinges on shower timing and intensity: earlier or heavier precipitation could cap readings near 30–31°C, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 15 août ?
32°C 30%
31°C 29%
30°C 21%
33°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
21%
31°C
29%
32°C
30%
33°C
21%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 29%
30°C 21%
33°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
27°C or below
$17 Vol.
2%
28°C
$17 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
21%
31°C
$1 Vol.
29%
32°C
$0 Vol.
30%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
19%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C
$12 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show highs of 31–33°C on August 15 amid a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers and moderate rain expected to limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, as historical August baselines average near 32°C and current very hot weather warnings reflect above-normal seasonal temperatures under ENSO-neutral conditions. Differentiation among 30–33°C hinges on shower timing and intensity: earlier or heavier precipitation could cap readings near 30–31°C, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$59Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show highs of 31–33°C on August 15 amid a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers and moderate rain expected to limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, as historical August baselines average near 32°C and current very hot weather warnings reflect above-normal seasonal temperatures under ENSO-neutral conditions. Differentiation among 30–33°C hinges on shower timing and intensity: earlier or heavier precipitation could cap readings near 30–31°C, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show highs of 31–33°C on August 15 amid a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers and moderate rain expected to limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, as historical August baselines average near 32°C and current very hot weather warnings reflect above-normal seasonal temperatures under ENSO-neutral conditions. Differentiation among 30–33°C hinges on shower timing and intensity: earlier or heavier precipitation could cap readings near 30–31°C, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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