Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure combined with lingering summer monsoon moisture and light winds supports daytime maxima near historical August averages of 32°C, while recent observations in the upper 30s and an emerging El Niño signal add slight upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, or brief showers could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 13 août ?
34°C 35%
33°C 29%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
10%
33°C
29%
34°C
35%
35°C
16%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
34°C 35%
33°C 29%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
28°C ou moins
$1,143 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$82 Vol.
1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
1%
31°C
$119 Vol.
4%
32°C
$125 Vol.
10%
33°C
$182 Vol.
29%
34°C
$1,459 Vol.
35%
35°C
$178 Vol.
16%
36°C
$268 Vol.
6%
37°C
$488 Vol.
1%
38°C ou plus
$816 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure combined with lingering summer monsoon moisture and light winds supports daytime maxima near historical August averages of 32°C, while recent observations in the upper 30s and an emerging El Niño signal add slight upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, or brief showers could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,810Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure combined with lingering summer monsoon moisture and light winds supports daytime maxima near historical August averages of 32°C, while recent observations in the upper 30s and an emerging El Niño signal add slight upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, or brief showers could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,810Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure combined with lingering summer monsoon moisture and light winds supports daytime maxima near historical August averages of 32°C, while recent observations in the upper 30s and an emerging El Niño signal add slight upward bias. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, or brief showers could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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