Recent forecast guidance from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in São Paulo on August 14, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible afternoon thunderstorms, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating after a warmer 29°C reading on the 13th. August climatology shows average highs of 23–25°C, with occasional spikes to 27–28°C under clearer, drier winter patterns, but current guidance favors modest cooling. The tight 26°C (31%) versus 27°C (32.5%) market split reflects model spread on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 28°C or above capture the limited upside from unexpected clearing. Official INMET or airport station observations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 14 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 14 août ?
26°C 32%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
16%
26°C
32%
27°C
30%
28°C
14%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
21°C or below
$147 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$60 Vol.
2%
24°C
$154 Vol.
4%
25°C
$159 Vol.
16%
26°C
$209 Vol.
32%
27°C
$501 Vol.
30%
28°C
$237 Vol.
14%
29°C
$201 Vol.
4%
30°C
$107 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in São Paulo on August 14, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible afternoon thunderstorms, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating after a warmer 29°C reading on the 13th. August climatology shows average highs of 23–25°C, with occasional spikes to 27–28°C under clearer, drier winter patterns, but current guidance favors modest cooling. The tight 26°C (31%) versus 27°C (32.5%) market split reflects model spread on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 28°C or above capture the limited upside from unexpected clearing. Official INMET or airport station observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$2,090Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in São Paulo on August 14, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible afternoon thunderstorms, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating after a warmer 29°C reading on the 13th. August climatology shows average highs of 23–25°C, with occasional spikes to 27–28°C under clearer, drier winter patterns, but current guidance favors modest cooling. The tight 26°C (31%) versus 27°C (32.5%) market split reflects model spread on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 28°C or above capture the limited upside from unexpected clearing. Official INMET or airport station observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,090Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in São Paulo on August 14, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible afternoon thunderstorms, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating after a warmer 29°C reading on the 13th. August climatology shows average highs of 23–25°C, with occasional spikes to 27–28°C under clearer, drier winter patterns, but current guidance favors modest cooling. The tight 26°C (31%) versus 27°C (32.5%) market split reflects model spread on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 28°C or above capture the limited upside from unexpected clearing. Official INMET or airport station observations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes