Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 14, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome with 51% implied probability. Typical August climatology features daily highs near 84°F, yet strengthening low stratus clouds and fog overnight into morning reduce insolation and cap peak readings in the mid-70s, consistent with neutral ENSO patterns that favor weaker offshore warming. Latest forecasts from NOAA point to a high near 78-79°F at most downtown or airport stations, with minimal model spread supporting the 74-77°F range holding over 82% market consensus ahead of final verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 14 août ?
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
65°F ou moins
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69 °F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84°F ou plus
1%
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
65°F ou moins
$146 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$134 Vol.
<1%
68-69 °F
$151 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$392 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$486 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$390 Vol.
33%
76-77°F
$1,945 Vol.
52%
78-79°F
$462 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$220 Vol.
1%
82-83 °F
$130 Vol.
<1%
84°F ou plus
$166 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 14, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome with 51% implied probability. Typical August climatology features daily highs near 84°F, yet strengthening low stratus clouds and fog overnight into morning reduce insolation and cap peak readings in the mid-70s, consistent with neutral ENSO patterns that favor weaker offshore warming. Latest forecasts from NOAA point to a high near 78-79°F at most downtown or airport stations, with minimal model spread supporting the 74-77°F range holding over 82% market consensus ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,623Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 14, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome with 51% implied probability. Typical August climatology features daily highs near 84°F, yet strengthening low stratus clouds and fog overnight into morning reduce insolation and cap peak readings in the mid-70s, consistent with neutral ENSO patterns that favor weaker offshore warming. Latest forecasts from NOAA point to a high near 78-79°F at most downtown or airport stations, with minimal model spread supporting the 74-77°F range holding over 82% market consensus ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,623Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 14, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome with 51% implied probability. Typical August climatology features daily highs near 84°F, yet strengthening low stratus clouds and fog overnight into morning reduce insolation and cap peak readings in the mid-70s, consistent with neutral ENSO patterns that favor weaker offshore warming. Latest forecasts from NOAA point to a high near 78-79°F at most downtown or airport stations, with minimal model spread supporting the 74-77°F range holding over 82% market consensus ahead of final verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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