Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on August 14 point to a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies, with minor variations in predicted peak values across runs driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Subtle differences in the strength of onshore marine flow, timing of daytime heating, and any residual effects from the strong Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining Seattle’s warmer-than-average summer explain the spread between the leading bins. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, but current conditions favor a modest exceedance. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion represent the next likely catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 14 août ?
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
73°F or below
$23 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$108 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$323 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$76 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$51 Vol.
23%
84-85°F
$272 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$178 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$15 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$10 Vol.
4%
92°F or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on August 14 point to a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies, with minor variations in predicted peak values across runs driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Subtle differences in the strength of onshore marine flow, timing of daytime heating, and any residual effects from the strong Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining Seattle’s warmer-than-average summer explain the spread between the leading bins. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, but current conditions favor a modest exceedance. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion represent the next likely catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,069Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on August 14 point to a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies, with minor variations in predicted peak values across runs driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Subtle differences in the strength of onshore marine flow, timing of daytime heating, and any residual effects from the strong Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining Seattle’s warmer-than-average summer explain the spread between the leading bins. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, but current conditions favor a modest exceedance. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion represent the next likely catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,069Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on August 14 point to a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies, with minor variations in predicted peak values across runs driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Subtle differences in the strength of onshore marine flow, timing of daytime heating, and any residual effects from the strong Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining Seattle’s warmer-than-average summer explain the spread between the leading bins. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, but current conditions favor a modest exceedance. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion represent the next likely catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes