Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 17 août ?
31°C 44%
30°C 30%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
30%
31°C
44%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 30%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
25°C or below
$159 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$380 Vol.
3%
29°C
$411 Vol.
12%
30°C
$460 Vol.
30%
31°C
$429 Vol.
44%
32°C
$965 Vol.
14%
33°C
$104 Vol.
2%
34°C
$589 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$3,823Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,823Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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