Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Luzon, is the main driver keeping Manila's August 17 maximum temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C according to PAGASA and global model guidance. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting daytime heating relative to climatological August averages near 31 °C. Model spread in timing and intensity of convective cells creates the narrow edge between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, while drier breaks or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 30 °C. Updated PAGASA forecasts and high-resolution model runs through the weekend will further refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Manille le 17 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Manille le 17 août ?
29°C 40%
28°C 26%
30°C 17%
31°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
26%
29°C
36%
30°C
17%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C ou plus
1%
29°C 40%
28°C 26%
30°C 17%
31°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$1 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$41 Vol.
3%
26°C
$279 Vol.
4%
27°C
$56 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$8 Vol.
36%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C
$93 Vol.
9%
32°C
$154 Vol.
3%
33°C ou plus
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Luzon, is the main driver keeping Manila's August 17 maximum temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C according to PAGASA and global model guidance. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting daytime heating relative to climatological August averages near 31 °C. Model spread in timing and intensity of convective cells creates the narrow edge between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, while drier breaks or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 30 °C. Updated PAGASA forecasts and high-resolution model runs through the weekend will further refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$663Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Luzon, is the main driver keeping Manila's August 17 maximum temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C according to PAGASA and global model guidance. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting daytime heating relative to climatological August averages near 31 °C. Model spread in timing and intensity of convective cells creates the narrow edge between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, while drier breaks or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 30 °C. Updated PAGASA forecasts and high-resolution model runs through the weekend will further refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$663Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Luzon, is the main driver keeping Manila's August 17 maximum temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C according to PAGASA and global model guidance. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting daytime heating relative to climatological August averages near 31 °C. Model spread in timing and intensity of convective cells creates the narrow edge between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, while drier breaks or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 30 °C. Updated PAGASA forecasts and high-resolution model runs through the weekend will further refine the distribution ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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