Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight widespread cloud cover and moderate to heavy rain showers expected over Chengdu on August 17, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 27–28°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, as ensemble models show modest variability in precipitation timing and intensity that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages for the region hover around 30–32°C under clearer conditions, but the current subtropical monsoon pattern and observed humidity levels above 70% support lower readings, with official updates from monitoring services likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 17 août ?
28°C 31%
27°C 27%
29°C 17%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
27%
28°C
31%
29°C
17%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
27°C 27%
29°C 17%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
23°C or below
$216 Vol.
1%
24°C
$116 Vol.
3%
25°C
$33 Vol.
6%
26°C
$110 Vol.
12%
27°C
$50 Vol.
27%
28°C
$19 Vol.
31%
29°C
$12 Vol.
17%
30°C
$228 Vol.
12%
31°C
$69 Vol.
3%
32°C
$10 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$6 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight widespread cloud cover and moderate to heavy rain showers expected over Chengdu on August 17, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 27–28°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, as ensemble models show modest variability in precipitation timing and intensity that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages for the region hover around 30–32°C under clearer conditions, but the current subtropical monsoon pattern and observed humidity levels above 70% support lower readings, with official updates from monitoring services likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$868Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight widespread cloud cover and moderate to heavy rain showers expected over Chengdu on August 17, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 27–28°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, as ensemble models show modest variability in precipitation timing and intensity that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages for the region hover around 30–32°C under clearer conditions, but the current subtropical monsoon pattern and observed humidity levels above 70% support lower readings, with official updates from monitoring services likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$868Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight widespread cloud cover and moderate to heavy rain showers expected over Chengdu on August 17, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 27–28°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, as ensemble models show modest variability in precipitation timing and intensity that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages for the region hover around 30–32°C under clearer conditions, but the current subtropical monsoon pattern and observed humidity levels above 70% support lower readings, with official updates from monitoring services likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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