Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Moscow on August 17, with limited spread across ensemble runs supporting this as the modal outcome. Recent mid-August conditions have featured daytime maxima around 22°C amid stable pressure and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological norms for the period when average highs reach approximately 20–24°C. Forecast consensus shows modest potential for 23–25°C depending on cloud cover and any light showers, while probabilities for extremes below 22°C or above 26°C remain low due to consistent steering patterns and absence of anomalous warm advection. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily ahead of final observational data from official stations, with implied odds reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of 24–48-hour forecasts in the region.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 17 août ?
24°C 47%
23°C 24%
25°C 19%
22°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
47%
25°C
19%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 47%
23°C 24%
25°C 19%
22°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
19°C or below
$115 Vol.
1%
20°C
$151 Vol.
2%
21°C
$102 Vol.
3%
22°C
$188 Vol.
7%
23°C
$342 Vol.
24%
24°C
$287 Vol.
47%
25°C
$629 Vol.
19%
26°C
$242 Vol.
6%
27°C
$197 Vol.
2%
28°C
$88 Vol.
3%
29°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Moscow on August 17, with limited spread across ensemble runs supporting this as the modal outcome. Recent mid-August conditions have featured daytime maxima around 22°C amid stable pressure and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological norms for the period when average highs reach approximately 20–24°C. Forecast consensus shows modest potential for 23–25°C depending on cloud cover and any light showers, while probabilities for extremes below 22°C or above 26°C remain low due to consistent steering patterns and absence of anomalous warm advection. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily ahead of final observational data from official stations, with implied odds reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of 24–48-hour forecasts in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,356Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Moscow on August 17, with limited spread across ensemble runs supporting this as the modal outcome. Recent mid-August conditions have featured daytime maxima around 22°C amid stable pressure and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological norms for the period when average highs reach approximately 20–24°C. Forecast consensus shows modest potential for 23–25°C depending on cloud cover and any light showers, while probabilities for extremes below 22°C or above 26°C remain low due to consistent steering patterns and absence of anomalous warm advection. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily ahead of final observational data from official stations, with implied odds reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of 24–48-hour forecasts in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,356Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Moscow on August 17, with limited spread across ensemble runs supporting this as the modal outcome. Recent mid-August conditions have featured daytime maxima around 22°C amid stable pressure and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological norms for the period when average highs reach approximately 20–24°C. Forecast consensus shows modest potential for 23–25°C depending on cloud cover and any light showers, while probabilities for extremes below 22°C or above 26°C remain low due to consistent steering patterns and absence of anomalous warm advection. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily ahead of final observational data from official stations, with implied odds reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of 24–48-hour forecasts in the region.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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