Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover in a typical late-winter setup. This places the highest probability on 29–31°C outcomes, with tight spreads reflecting minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official measurement sites. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme advection. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight updates from Brazilian agencies, as small shifts in dewpoint or wind could tip the peak across the narrow resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 17 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 17 août ?
30°C 30%
31°C 29%
29°C 28%
32°C or higher 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
28%
30°C
30%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 30%
31°C 29%
29°C 28%
32°C or higher 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
22°C or below
$1 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
5%
29°C
$152 Vol.
28%
30°C
$19 Vol.
30%
31°C
$188 Vol.
29%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover in a typical late-winter setup. This places the highest probability on 29–31°C outcomes, with tight spreads reflecting minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official measurement sites. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme advection. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight updates from Brazilian agencies, as small shifts in dewpoint or wind could tip the peak across the narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$375Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover in a typical late-winter setup. This places the highest probability on 29–31°C outcomes, with tight spreads reflecting minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official measurement sites. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme advection. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight updates from Brazilian agencies, as small shifts in dewpoint or wind could tip the peak across the narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$375Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover in a typical late-winter setup. This places the highest probability on 29–31°C outcomes, with tight spreads reflecting minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official measurement sites. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme advection. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and any overnight updates from Brazilian agencies, as small shifts in dewpoint or wind could tip the peak across the narrow resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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