Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model guidance indicate maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 17 amid moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 31°C while reflecting the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences. Close market odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized urban heat effects, with official daily maximum data from the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 17 août ?
33°C 39%
32°C 33%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
14%
32°C
33%
33°C
39%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 33%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
28°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$40 Vol.
1%
30°C
$316 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$83 Vol.
33%
33°C
$75 Vol.
39%
34°C
$113 Vol.
12%
35°C
$7 Vol.
4%
36°C
$261 Vol.
7%
37°C
$11 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model guidance indicate maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 17 amid moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 31°C while reflecting the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences. Close market odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized urban heat effects, with official daily maximum data from the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$956Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model guidance indicate maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 17 amid moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 31°C while reflecting the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences. Close market odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized urban heat effects, with official daily maximum data from the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$956Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model guidance indicate maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 17 amid moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 31°C while reflecting the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO influences. Close market odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and localized urban heat effects, with official daily maximum data from the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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