Current forecasts for Istanbul indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C on August 18, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs reach 27–29°C. Sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus, combined with moderate humidity, typically cap daytime heating and create tight spreads among 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Ensemble model variability in cloud cover timing, wind shifts, or urban heat effects at the official measurement site can shift the exact peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 18 août ?
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
29°C 27%
32°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
27%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
29°C 27%
32°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
24°C or below
$177 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C
$15 Vol.
4%
27°C
$61 Vol.
5%
28°C
$39 Vol.
7%
29°C
$32 Vol.
27%
30°C
$317 Vol.
31%
31°C
$109 Vol.
29%
32°C
$68 Vol.
9%
33°C
$35 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C on August 18, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs reach 27–29°C. Sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus, combined with moderate humidity, typically cap daytime heating and create tight spreads among 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Ensemble model variability in cloud cover timing, wind shifts, or urban heat effects at the official measurement site can shift the exact peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$909Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C on August 18, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs reach 27–29°C. Sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus, combined with moderate humidity, typically cap daytime heating and create tight spreads among 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Ensemble model variability in cloud cover timing, wind shifts, or urban heat effects at the official measurement site can shift the exact peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$909Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Istanbul indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C on August 18, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs reach 27–29°C. Sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus, combined with moderate humidity, typically cap daytime heating and create tight spreads among 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Ensemble model variability in cloud cover timing, wind shifts, or urban heat effects at the official measurement site can shift the exact peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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