Current short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 22–23°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that moderate daytime heating. Trader sentiment centers on this narrow ensemble spread, reflecting the post-heat-wave transition to a cooler air mass after early-August peaks above 30°C. Stable steering patterns and modest moisture limit upside risk above 25°C or downside below 20°C, consistent with climatological late-summer norms. Key upcoming inputs include the next model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies, which will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 18 août ?
23°C 37%
22°C 22%
24°C 21%
20°C 19%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 37%
22°C 22%
24°C 21%
20°C 19%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 22–23°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that moderate daytime heating. Trader sentiment centers on this narrow ensemble spread, reflecting the post-heat-wave transition to a cooler air mass after early-August peaks above 30°C. Stable steering patterns and modest moisture limit upside risk above 25°C or downside below 20°C, consistent with climatological late-summer norms. Key upcoming inputs include the next model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies, which will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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