Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 15 août ?
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 22%
82-83°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 22%
82-83°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
73°F or below
$10 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$361 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$466 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$322 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$566 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$172 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$186 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$230 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$26 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$306 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,005Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,005Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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