Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 18 most likely between 21–22 °C, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers associated with a weak frontal boundary. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote modest evaporative cooling, preventing the seasonal average high near 23 °C from being reached. Westerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air, while limited afternoon clearing keeps the daily peak tightly constrained. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty range, with modest probabilities assigned to 23 °C or higher only if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation than currently projected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 18 août ?
21°C 31%
22°C 30%
23°C 17%
20°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
16%
21°C
31%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
2%
21°C 31%
22°C 30%
23°C 17%
20°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
15°C or below
$304 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$13 Vol.
1%
19°C
$79 Vol.
7%
20°C
$114 Vol.
16%
21°C
$366 Vol.
31%
22°C
$109 Vol.
30%
23°C
$439 Vol.
17%
24°C
$390 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 18 most likely between 21–22 °C, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers associated with a weak frontal boundary. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote modest evaporative cooling, preventing the seasonal average high near 23 °C from being reached. Westerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air, while limited afternoon clearing keeps the daily peak tightly constrained. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty range, with modest probabilities assigned to 23 °C or higher only if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation than currently projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,921Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 18 most likely between 21–22 °C, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers associated with a weak frontal boundary. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote modest evaporative cooling, preventing the seasonal average high near 23 °C from being reached. Westerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air, while limited afternoon clearing keeps the daily peak tightly constrained. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty range, with modest probabilities assigned to 23 °C or higher only if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation than currently projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,921Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 18 most likely between 21–22 °C, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers associated with a weak frontal boundary. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote modest evaporative cooling, preventing the seasonal average high near 23 °C from being reached. Westerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air, while limited afternoon clearing keeps the daily peak tightly constrained. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty range, with modest probabilities assigned to 23 °C or higher only if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation than currently projected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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