Recent National Weather Service forecasts position mid-80s readings as the most likely outcome for the highest temperature recorded at the Central Park station on August 18, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 84–87°F. Short-range model consensus shows a building ridge supporting warm southerly flow and mostly sunny conditions, with daytime maxima projected near 84–86°F after morning clouds or light showers clear. Sea-breeze influences and modest dew-point suppression could cap readings below 88°F, while historical August climatology (average high 83°F) provides context for the current setup. Updated NWS guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has stabilized expectations in this range, with limited model spread ahead of the daily observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 18 août ?
86-87°F 49%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
49%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 49%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
75°F or below
$35 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$35 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$49 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$84 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$135 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$374 Vol.
28%
86-87°F
$1,813 Vol.
49%
88-89°F
$441 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$92 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$25 Vol.
3%
94°F or higher
$108 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts position mid-80s readings as the most likely outcome for the highest temperature recorded at the Central Park station on August 18, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 84–87°F. Short-range model consensus shows a building ridge supporting warm southerly flow and mostly sunny conditions, with daytime maxima projected near 84–86°F after morning clouds or light showers clear. Sea-breeze influences and modest dew-point suppression could cap readings below 88°F, while historical August climatology (average high 83°F) provides context for the current setup. Updated NWS guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has stabilized expectations in this range, with limited model spread ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,190Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts position mid-80s readings as the most likely outcome for the highest temperature recorded at the Central Park station on August 18, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 84–87°F. Short-range model consensus shows a building ridge supporting warm southerly flow and mostly sunny conditions, with daytime maxima projected near 84–86°F after morning clouds or light showers clear. Sea-breeze influences and modest dew-point suppression could cap readings below 88°F, while historical August climatology (average high 83°F) provides context for the current setup. Updated NWS guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has stabilized expectations in this range, with limited model spread ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,190Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts position mid-80s readings as the most likely outcome for the highest temperature recorded at the Central Park station on August 18, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 84–87°F. Short-range model consensus shows a building ridge supporting warm southerly flow and mostly sunny conditions, with daytime maxima projected near 84–86°F after morning clouds or light showers clear. Sea-breeze influences and modest dew-point suppression could cap readings below 88°F, while historical August climatology (average high 83°F) provides context for the current setup. Updated NWS guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has stabilized expectations in this range, with limited model spread ahead of the daily observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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