Recent official forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models place Wuhan's August 19 high near 33–35 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which sustains hot, humid conditions typical of central China's summer. Trader consensus, with 35 °C at 43 % and 36 °C at 26.5 % implied probability, reflects this range while incorporating potential afternoon thundershowers that could limit peak readings. Historical August averages near 35 °C and recent similar markets resolving in the low-to-mid 30s further anchor sentiment. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 19 août ?
35°C 43%
36°C 27%
34°C 18%
37°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
18%
35°C
43%
36°C
27%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 43%
36°C 27%
34°C 18%
37°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
29°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$191 Vol.
1%
31°C
$215 Vol.
1%
32°C
$248 Vol.
3%
33°C
$244 Vol.
4%
34°C
$378 Vol.
18%
35°C
$542 Vol.
43%
36°C
$1,810 Vol.
27%
37°C
$297 Vol.
5%
38°C
$166 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$258 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models place Wuhan's August 19 high near 33–35 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which sustains hot, humid conditions typical of central China's summer. Trader consensus, with 35 °C at 43 % and 36 °C at 26.5 % implied probability, reflects this range while incorporating potential afternoon thundershowers that could limit peak readings. Historical August averages near 35 °C and recent similar markets resolving in the low-to-mid 30s further anchor sentiment. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,437Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models place Wuhan's August 19 high near 33–35 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which sustains hot, humid conditions typical of central China's summer. Trader consensus, with 35 °C at 43 % and 36 °C at 26.5 % implied probability, reflects this range while incorporating potential afternoon thundershowers that could limit peak readings. Historical August averages near 35 °C and recent similar markets resolving in the low-to-mid 30s further anchor sentiment. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,437Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models place Wuhan's August 19 high near 33–35 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which sustains hot, humid conditions typical of central China's summer. Trader consensus, with 35 °C at 43 % and 36 °C at 26.5 % implied probability, reflects this range while incorporating potential afternoon thundershowers that could limit peak readings. Historical August averages near 35 °C and recent similar markets resolving in the low-to-mid 30s further anchor sentiment. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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