Forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service positions Istanbul's August 19 maximum near 27–28°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and moderating sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus. These local influences often cap daytime heating below late-summer climatological averages of 27–29°C, consistent with partly sunny conditions and moderate humidity. Trader sentiment favors the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes because small shifts in steering patterns or insolation could tip the daily high either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside 26–29°C given current observational trends and short-range predictability. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 19 août ?
28°C 32%
27°C 29%
29°C 15%
26°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
29%
28°C
32%
29°C
15%
30°C
6%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
27°C 29%
29°C 15%
26°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$4 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$24 Vol.
13%
27°C
$896 Vol.
29%
28°C
$90 Vol.
32%
29°C
$41 Vol.
15%
30°C
$21 Vol.
6%
31°C
$5 Vol.
4%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service positions Istanbul's August 19 maximum near 27–28°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and moderating sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus. These local influences often cap daytime heating below late-summer climatological averages of 27–29°C, consistent with partly sunny conditions and moderate humidity. Trader sentiment favors the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes because small shifts in steering patterns or insolation could tip the daily high either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside 26–29°C given current observational trends and short-range predictability. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,106Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service positions Istanbul's August 19 maximum near 27–28°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and moderating sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus. These local influences often cap daytime heating below late-summer climatological averages of 27–29°C, consistent with partly sunny conditions and moderate humidity. Trader sentiment favors the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes because small shifts in steering patterns or insolation could tip the daily high either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside 26–29°C given current observational trends and short-range predictability. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,106Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service positions Istanbul's August 19 maximum near 27–28°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and moderating sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus. These local influences often cap daytime heating below late-summer climatological averages of 27–29°C, consistent with partly sunny conditions and moderate humidity. Trader sentiment favors the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes because small shifts in steering patterns or insolation could tip the daily high either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside 26–29°C given current observational trends and short-range predictability. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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