Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow drawing cooler Baltic maritime air, which limits daytime heating close to late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This positions 20°C and 21°C as the market leaders at 29.5% and 41.0% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical August highs in the region rarely exceed 22°C after mid-month, while any shift toward clearer skies or reduced onshore flow could support the lower-probability 22°C outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Helsinki le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Helsinki le 19 août ?
21°C 42%
20°C 31%
22°C 18%
19°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
31%
21°C
42%
22°C
18%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou plus
<1%
21°C 42%
20°C 31%
22°C 18%
19°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
16°C ou moins
$127 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$214 Vol.
1%
18°C
$245 Vol.
2%
19°C
$109 Vol.
9%
20°C
$399 Vol.
31%
21°C
$162 Vol.
42%
22°C
$167 Vol.
18%
23°C
$422 Vol.
4%
24°C
$52 Vol.
2%
25°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou plus
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow drawing cooler Baltic maritime air, which limits daytime heating close to late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This positions 20°C and 21°C as the market leaders at 29.5% and 41.0% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical August highs in the region rarely exceed 22°C after mid-month, while any shift toward clearer skies or reduced onshore flow could support the lower-probability 22°C outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,283Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow drawing cooler Baltic maritime air, which limits daytime heating close to late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This positions 20°C and 21°C as the market leaders at 29.5% and 41.0% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical August highs in the region rarely exceed 22°C after mid-month, while any shift toward clearer skies or reduced onshore flow could support the lower-probability 22°C outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,283Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow drawing cooler Baltic maritime air, which limits daytime heating close to late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This positions 20°C and 21°C as the market leaders at 29.5% and 41.0% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid typical forecast spread of a few degrees. Historical August highs in the region rarely exceed 22°C after mid-month, while any shift toward clearer skies or reduced onshore flow could support the lower-probability 22°C outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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