Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a highest temperature in Wellington on August 19 most likely near 11°C, driven by persistent southerly winds and a post-polar air mass that has suppressed daytime maxima across the lower North Island. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the June–August period, consistent with historical August highs averaging 12°C but trending cooler amid current model consensus. Updated runs show limited warming potential ahead of the date, with cloud cover and brisk flow limiting solar heating, while traders assign the bulk of implied probability to the narrow 10–12°C band reflecting these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal forecast divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Wellington le 19 août ?
11°C 60%
12°C 21%
10°C 17%
9°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
17%
11°C
60%
12°C
21%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 60%
12°C 21%
10°C 17%
9°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
5°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$144 Vol.
3%
10°C
$407 Vol.
17%
11°C
$1,417 Vol.
60%
12°C
$678 Vol.
21%
13°C
$149 Vol.
3%
14°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a highest temperature in Wellington on August 19 most likely near 11°C, driven by persistent southerly winds and a post-polar air mass that has suppressed daytime maxima across the lower North Island. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the June–August period, consistent with historical August highs averaging 12°C but trending cooler amid current model consensus. Updated runs show limited warming potential ahead of the date, with cloud cover and brisk flow limiting solar heating, while traders assign the bulk of implied probability to the narrow 10–12°C band reflecting these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal forecast divergence.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,326Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a highest temperature in Wellington on August 19 most likely near 11°C, driven by persistent southerly winds and a post-polar air mass that has suppressed daytime maxima across the lower North Island. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the June–August period, consistent with historical August highs averaging 12°C but trending cooler amid current model consensus. Updated runs show limited warming potential ahead of the date, with cloud cover and brisk flow limiting solar heating, while traders assign the bulk of implied probability to the narrow 10–12°C band reflecting these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal forecast divergence.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,326Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a highest temperature in Wellington on August 19 most likely near 11°C, driven by persistent southerly winds and a post-polar air mass that has suppressed daytime maxima across the lower North Island. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the June–August period, consistent with historical August highs averaging 12°C but trending cooler amid current model consensus. Updated runs show limited warming potential ahead of the date, with cloud cover and brisk flow limiting solar heating, while traders assign the bulk of implied probability to the narrow 10–12°C band reflecting these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal forecast divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes