Monsoon activity across southern Pakistan, including an active low-pressure system and associated moisture influx, represents the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Karachi’s August 19 high temperature. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights expected rain-wind or thundershowers and increased cloud cover through August 19, which limits surface heating and keeps daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 31–33 °C. Recent model consensus and current observations—temperatures around 31 °C with high humidity on August 17—support the heavy weighting toward 32 °C (66.5 % implied probability), while the smaller probabilities assigned to 31 °C and 33 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Historical August records show similar monsoon-suppressed highs rarely exceed 34 °C under comparable conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Karachi le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Karachi le 19 août ?
32°C 62%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
20%
32°C
62%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 62%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
27°C ou moins
$137 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$497 Vol.
1%
30°C
$489 Vol.
3%
31°C
$425 Vol.
20%
32°C
$2,747 Vol.
62%
33°C
$460 Vol.
19%
34°C
$272 Vol.
3%
35°C
$5 Vol.
2%
36°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou plus
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon activity across southern Pakistan, including an active low-pressure system and associated moisture influx, represents the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Karachi’s August 19 high temperature. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights expected rain-wind or thundershowers and increased cloud cover through August 19, which limits surface heating and keeps daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 31–33 °C. Recent model consensus and current observations—temperatures around 31 °C with high humidity on August 17—support the heavy weighting toward 32 °C (66.5 % implied probability), while the smaller probabilities assigned to 31 °C and 33 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Historical August records show similar monsoon-suppressed highs rarely exceed 34 °C under comparable conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,617Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon activity across southern Pakistan, including an active low-pressure system and associated moisture influx, represents the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Karachi’s August 19 high temperature. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights expected rain-wind or thundershowers and increased cloud cover through August 19, which limits surface heating and keeps daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 31–33 °C. Recent model consensus and current observations—temperatures around 31 °C with high humidity on August 17—support the heavy weighting toward 32 °C (66.5 % implied probability), while the smaller probabilities assigned to 31 °C and 33 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Historical August records show similar monsoon-suppressed highs rarely exceed 34 °C under comparable conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,617Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon activity across southern Pakistan, including an active low-pressure system and associated moisture influx, represents the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Karachi’s August 19 high temperature. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights expected rain-wind or thundershowers and increased cloud cover through August 19, which limits surface heating and keeps daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 31–33 °C. Recent model consensus and current observations—temperatures around 31 °C with high humidity on August 17—support the heavy weighting toward 32 °C (66.5 % implied probability), while the smaller probabilities assigned to 31 °C and 33 °C reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Historical August records show similar monsoon-suppressed highs rarely exceed 34 °C under comparable conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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