Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on August 18, driven by moderating Atlantic westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and limited daytime heating that caps peak temperatures. Météo-France’s seasonal outlook indicates a warmer-than-average August overall, yet short-range models highlight day-to-day variability from passing troughs and variable insolation. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima, where small shifts in steering patterns or timing of any showers can differentiate outcomes by 1°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 18 août ?
27°C 34%
28°C 30%
29°C 23%
26°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
25°C or below
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
34%
28°C
30%
29°C
23%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 30%
29°C 23%
26°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
25°C or below
$30 Vol.
6%
26°C
$35 Vol.
11%
27°C
$95 Vol.
34%
28°C
$55 Vol.
30%
29°C
$47 Vol.
23%
30°C
$23 Vol.
5%
31°C
$197 Vol.
2%
32°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on August 18, driven by moderating Atlantic westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and limited daytime heating that caps peak temperatures. Météo-France’s seasonal outlook indicates a warmer-than-average August overall, yet short-range models highlight day-to-day variability from passing troughs and variable insolation. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima, where small shifts in steering patterns or timing of any showers can differentiate outcomes by 1°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,565Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on August 18, driven by moderating Atlantic westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and limited daytime heating that caps peak temperatures. Météo-France’s seasonal outlook indicates a warmer-than-average August overall, yet short-range models highlight day-to-day variability from passing troughs and variable insolation. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima, where small shifts in steering patterns or timing of any showers can differentiate outcomes by 1°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,565Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on August 18, driven by moderating Atlantic westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and limited daytime heating that caps peak temperatures. Météo-France’s seasonal outlook indicates a warmer-than-average August overall, yet short-range models highlight day-to-day variability from passing troughs and variable insolation. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima, where small shifts in steering patterns or timing of any showers can differentiate outcomes by 1°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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