Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 21, aligning with trader consensus favoring those outcomes. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical maxima hover near 12°C amid prevailing westerlies, but an incoming northerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures slightly above the seasonal baseline while keeping precipitation low. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, with limited model spread supporting the current market distribution. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine wind speed and cloud cover, key variables that determine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the favored range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 21 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 21 août ?
14°C 53%
13°C 37%
15°C 8%
12°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
37%
14°C
53%
15°C
8%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 53%
13°C 37%
15°C 8%
12°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
8°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$160 Vol.
1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
2%
12°C
$175 Vol.
4%
13°C
$182 Vol.
37%
14°C
$338 Vol.
53%
15°C
$171 Vol.
8%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 21, aligning with trader consensus favoring those outcomes. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical maxima hover near 12°C amid prevailing westerlies, but an incoming northerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures slightly above the seasonal baseline while keeping precipitation low. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, with limited model spread supporting the current market distribution. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine wind speed and cloud cover, key variables that determine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the favored range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,945Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 21, aligning with trader consensus favoring those outcomes. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical maxima hover near 12°C amid prevailing westerlies, but an incoming northerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures slightly above the seasonal baseline while keeping precipitation low. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, with limited model spread supporting the current market distribution. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine wind speed and cloud cover, key variables that determine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the favored range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,945Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 21, aligning with trader consensus favoring those outcomes. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical maxima hover near 12°C amid prevailing westerlies, but an incoming northerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures slightly above the seasonal baseline while keeping precipitation low. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, with limited model spread supporting the current market distribution. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine wind speed and cloud cover, key variables that determine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the favored range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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