Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 19 point to a daily maximum near 31°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure dominance and moderate southerly flow that limits extreme heating while maintaining high humidity. Ensemble model guidance from regional agencies shows limited day-to-day variability, with temperatures unlikely to exceed 32°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification or fall below 30°C given climatological baselines around 31–32°C for mid-August. This consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 31°C at 47.5% implied probability, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor steering-pattern uncertainties ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 19 août ?
31°C 48%
30°C 22%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
22%
31°C
48%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
30°C 22%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
25°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$140 Vol.
2%
29°C
$196 Vol.
5%
30°C
$599 Vol.
22%
31°C
$498 Vol.
48%
32°C
$124 Vol.
19%
33°C
$37 Vol.
5%
34°C
$267 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 19 point to a daily maximum near 31°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure dominance and moderate southerly flow that limits extreme heating while maintaining high humidity. Ensemble model guidance from regional agencies shows limited day-to-day variability, with temperatures unlikely to exceed 32°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification or fall below 30°C given climatological baselines around 31–32°C for mid-August. This consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 31°C at 47.5% implied probability, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor steering-pattern uncertainties ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,706Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 19 point to a daily maximum near 31°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure dominance and moderate southerly flow that limits extreme heating while maintaining high humidity. Ensemble model guidance from regional agencies shows limited day-to-day variability, with temperatures unlikely to exceed 32°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification or fall below 30°C given climatological baselines around 31–32°C for mid-August. This consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 31°C at 47.5% implied probability, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor steering-pattern uncertainties ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,706Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 19 point to a daily maximum near 31°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure dominance and moderate southerly flow that limits extreme heating while maintaining high humidity. Ensemble model guidance from regional agencies shows limited day-to-day variability, with temperatures unlikely to exceed 32°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification or fall below 30°C given climatological baselines around 31–32°C for mid-August. This consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 31°C at 47.5% implied probability, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor steering-pattern uncertainties ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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