**Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 27°C (53.5%) and 26°C (29.5%).** Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August overnight lows of 25–27°C, moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a low near 26.7°C (80°F) for the 19th amid daytime highs near 32°C and possible isolated thunderstorms, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Model agreement remains high this close to the event, though small shifts could occur from updated runs reflecting changes in cloud cover or precipitation timing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these stable summer baseline conditions and limited downside risk below 25°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 19 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 19 août ?
27°C 54%
26°C 30%
28°C 15%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
30%
27°C
54%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
1%
27°C 54%
26°C 30%
28°C 15%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
3%
25°C
$40 Vol.
5%
26°C
$26 Vol.
30%
27°C
$429 Vol.
54%
28°C
$12 Vol.
15%
29°C
$30 Vol.
4%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 27°C (53.5%) and 26°C (29.5%).**
Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August overnight lows of 25–27°C, moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a low near 26.7°C (80°F) for the 19th amid daytime highs near 32°C and possible isolated thunderstorms, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected.
Model agreement remains high this close to the event, though small shifts could occur from updated runs reflecting changes in cloud cover or precipitation timing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these stable summer baseline conditions and limited downside risk below 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$572Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 27°C (53.5%) and 26°C (29.5%).**
Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August overnight lows of 25–27°C, moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a low near 26.7°C (80°F) for the 19th amid daytime highs near 32°C and possible isolated thunderstorms, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected.
Model agreement remains high this close to the event, though small shifts could occur from updated runs reflecting changes in cloud cover or precipitation timing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these stable summer baseline conditions and limited downside risk below 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$572Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 27°C (53.5%) and 26°C (29.5%).** Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August overnight lows of 25–27°C, moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a low near 26.7°C (80°F) for the 19th amid daytime highs near 32°C and possible isolated thunderstorms, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Model agreement remains high this close to the event, though small shifts could occur from updated runs reflecting changes in cloud cover or precipitation timing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these stable summer baseline conditions and limited downside risk below 25°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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