Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 19 project a high near 97°F under sunny skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the 53.5% market-implied probability for 96-97°F. Persistent summer heat, with recent daily maxima reaching 96°F and heat indices up to 112°F, supports this range amid typical August climatology where average highs hover near 89°F. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes limited cloud cover and minimal tropical moisture influence tomorrow, though afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated convection could trim peaks into the mid-90s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 95°F, positioning 94-95°F as the next most likely outcome at 31.5%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 19 août ?
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F ou plus
<1%
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
87°F or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$352 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,432 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$527 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$807 Vol.
32%
96-97°F
$800 Vol.
54%
98-99°F
$783 Vol.
12%
100-101°F
$1,161 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$312 Vol.
<1%
106°F ou plus
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 19 project a high near 97°F under sunny skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the 53.5% market-implied probability for 96-97°F. Persistent summer heat, with recent daily maxima reaching 96°F and heat indices up to 112°F, supports this range amid typical August climatology where average highs hover near 89°F. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes limited cloud cover and minimal tropical moisture influence tomorrow, though afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated convection could trim peaks into the mid-90s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 95°F, positioning 94-95°F as the next most likely outcome at 31.5%.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,509Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 19 project a high near 97°F under sunny skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the 53.5% market-implied probability for 96-97°F. Persistent summer heat, with recent daily maxima reaching 96°F and heat indices up to 112°F, supports this range amid typical August climatology where average highs hover near 89°F. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes limited cloud cover and minimal tropical moisture influence tomorrow, though afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated convection could trim peaks into the mid-90s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 95°F, positioning 94-95°F as the next most likely outcome at 31.5%.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,509Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 19 project a high near 97°F under sunny skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the 53.5% market-implied probability for 96-97°F. Persistent summer heat, with recent daily maxima reaching 96°F and heat indices up to 112°F, supports this range amid typical August climatology where average highs hover near 89°F. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes limited cloud cover and minimal tropical moisture influence tomorrow, though afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated convection could trim peaks into the mid-90s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 95°F, positioning 94-95°F as the next most likely outcome at 31.5%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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