Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich's August 19 maximum near 27–28 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and any weak frontal passage. Late-summer synoptic patterns with light winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures several degrees above the 23 °C climatological August high, yet small differences in timing or moisture advection can shift the peak by 1 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between these two outcomes because model runs continue to show overlapping probability distributions around the upper-20s threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 26 °C or 29 °C. Updated high-resolution guidance and surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 19 août ?
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
18%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
24°C or below
$143 Vol.
2%
25°C
$129 Vol.
6%
26°C
$152 Vol.
18%
27°C
$526 Vol.
32%
28°C
$40 Vol.
27%
29°C
$802 Vol.
11%
30°C
$364 Vol.
5%
31°C
$23 Vol.
2%
32°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich's August 19 maximum near 27–28 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and any weak frontal passage. Late-summer synoptic patterns with light winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures several degrees above the 23 °C climatological August high, yet small differences in timing or moisture advection can shift the peak by 1 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between these two outcomes because model runs continue to show overlapping probability distributions around the upper-20s threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 26 °C or 29 °C. Updated high-resolution guidance and surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,675Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich's August 19 maximum near 27–28 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and any weak frontal passage. Late-summer synoptic patterns with light winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures several degrees above the 23 °C climatological August high, yet small differences in timing or moisture advection can shift the peak by 1 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between these two outcomes because model runs continue to show overlapping probability distributions around the upper-20s threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 26 °C or 29 °C. Updated high-resolution guidance and surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,675Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich's August 19 maximum near 27–28 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and any weak frontal passage. Late-summer synoptic patterns with light winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures several degrees above the 23 °C climatological August high, yet small differences in timing or moisture advection can shift the peak by 1 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between these two outcomes because model runs continue to show overlapping probability distributions around the upper-20s threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 26 °C or 29 °C. Updated high-resolution guidance and surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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